The Metrics Had been Proper About Pitt Basketball
The computer systems had been proper.
For many of the 2022-23 season, the consensus of those who use math to judge school basketball had been considerably extra bearish on Pitt than the traditional knowledge, because the Panthers raced out to a 21-8 begin and a 14-4 mark in ACC play.
Regardless of their finest report in years, the Panthers weren’t appreciated by the game’s computational rankings, with the likes of KenPom.com, EvanMiya.com and the NCAA’s NET rankings suggesting that Pitt was a workforce that belonged extra within the 50-70 tier of school basketball groups than one that might usually be assigned to a workforce that almost all of late February and early March not more than a sport out of first place within the ACC.
The cries had been loud that the NET and KenPom rankings had been nonsensical or one way or the other unfair to the Panthers, and that not solely ought to Pitt not be an NCAA Match bubble workforce, however that the Panthers ought to have been ranked within the AP Prime 25 school basketball ballot.
On Feb. 27, the Panthers had been ranked in that ballot, for the primary time since 2016. Since then, Pitt has misplaced three of its final 4 video games, together with a dropping a sport at 14th-place Notre Dame and a 27-point loss to Duke — which completed with an equivalent 14-6 ACC report — within the ACC Match in Greensboro on Thursday.
The tip of the season slide has definitely lessened the extent of enthusiasm concerning the Panthers headed into the NCAA Match, and there’ll now be at the very least some drama on Sunday about whether or not or not Jeff Capel’s workforce can be within the discipline of 68, not to mention the place they are going to be seeded.
But it surely shouldn’t have come as a shock that the run the Panthers had been on once they misplaced simply 4 video games from earlier than Thanksgiving to after Valentine’s Day was not prone to proceed.
What KenPom’s effectivity ranking — and the NET that’s based mostly on an analogous mannequin — is making an attempt to inform us is the true enjoying capacity of a workforce, no matter its report. An enormous a part of Pitt’s report was a number of shut wins, many in opposition to lower-level competitors, interspersed with greater than handful of actually unhealthy losses, each by way of the opponents and the margin of victory.
The signature of Pitt’s 2022-23 season is its capacity to win these shut video games. However the truth that Pitt was in so many shut video games, whereas additionally holding some massive losses and in addition dropping some main upsets meant that sample was unlikely to proceed.
It hasn’t. Pitt misplaced to Notre Dame in a seven-point sport, Miami in a two-point sport after which acquired blown out by Duke. It doesn’t all the time end up this manner. Generally inconceivable issues simply carry on taking place. However KenPom has grow to be an business normal for a purpose, and never as a result of it’s unhealthy at making predictions.
In case you observe that line of pondering, perhaps a slide is the unsuitable technique to characterize the tip of Pitt’s season. The Panthers didn’t fall off a cliff (at the very least till the second half in opposition to Duke), however as an alternative this has been extra of a case of water discovering its degree.
Whereas Pitt’s report and one-time high 25 rating acquired hopes of a greater end within the heads of many, what Capel and the Panthers have achieved this season stays no much less vital.
For the primary time in a very long time, the Pitt fanbase fell again in love with its basketball workforce, and a method or one other, the Panthers are going to maintain enjoying into mid-March. Bringing again that feeling means greater than quantity that’s or isn’t beside Pitt’s identify and the way good, unhealthy or common the computer systems assume they’re.
Contained in the Locker Room: Emotional Pitt Gamers Break Down Loss to Duke, Match Possibilities
GREENSBORO, N.C. — On Thursday afternoon, Pitt fell to Duke within the quarterfinals of the ACC Match in lopsided vogue, 96-69.
All eyes now fall upon the NCAA Match choice committee, who will select the sphere of 68 groups that make the NCAA Match on Choice Sunday in just some days.
Hear from Pitt gamers Jamarius Burton, Nelly Cummings, Nike Sibande, Greg Elliott, and Jorge Diaz-Graham after the loss. The gamers broke down Pitt’s loss to Duke and spoke about why they consider this crew deserves a bid to the match.
Duke Dominates Pitt Wire-to-Wire in ACC Event Quarterfinals, 96-69
GREENSBORO, N.C. — Pitt’s run at an ACC title got here to an abrupt ending on Thursday afternoon, as Kyle Filipowski and the fourth-seeded Duke Blue Devils dominated Pitt by a rating of 96-69.
Duke opened the floodgates early, hitting its first 4 field-goal makes an attempt and 6 of its first eight tries to construct a fast 16-4 lead. The freshman phenom Filipowski hit two broad open threes to open the scoring, scoring six of his 14 first-half factors simply minutes into the motion.
Whereas Duke stayed sizzling from the sector, Pitt failed to search out success offensively, hitting simply 5 of its first 15 shot makes an attempt. Within the final seven minutes of the primary half, the Panthers began to shoot the ball higher, however couldn’t decelerate the highly effective, speedy Blue Devils on the opposite finish. Within the first, Jamarius Burton led the Panthers with eight factors on 3-for-6 taking pictures, however the remainder of Pitt’s beginning 5 mixed for simply 10 factors within the body, resulting in a 48-32 deficit on the half.
The Blue Devils got here out of the break displaying no indicators of slowing down, as Filipowski hit one other three then completed off an alley-oop from Jeremy Roach following a Pitt turnover. Lower than two minutes into the half, Duke had constructed its strongest lead of the sport: a 23-point margin.
The Blue Devils stored their foot on the fuel all through the half, utilizing an early three-point barrage and regular buckets from the whole roster to complete the win. Filipowski cruised his option to 22 factors on the evening, whereas fellow freshmen Dereck Vigorous and Tyrese Proctor additionally shined. Proctor dropped an 11-point, 10-assist double-double within the Blue Devils’ victory. As a group, the Blue Devils shot a outstanding 62% from the sector, and set season highs in factors and assists (27) on the day.
Pitt’s Diaz-Graham twins did all they might on the offensive finish, as Guillermo scored 14 factors and Jorge added 5. Nike Sibande led the way in which with 17 factors off the bench, however the remainder of the Panthers simply couldn’t spark any offense within the lopsided loss. Burton went 5 for 12 from the sector, ending with 13 factors within the loss.
With the loss, Pitt is eradicated from the ACC Event and can now wait and see if its resume is robust sufficient for a bid to this 12 months’s NCAA Event. The Panthers enter Choice Sunday with a 22-11 total document.
Duke advances to the semifinals of the ACC Event, and can play Miami on Friday evening at 7 p.m. The Blue Devils earned their seventh-straight win of the season on Thursday, and capped off a season sweep of Jeff Capel’s Panthers.
5 Issues to Know Earlier than Pitt Vs. Duke: Unfold, TV Information, Extra
GREENSBORO, N.C. — Pitt will tackle Duke within the quarterfinals of the ACC Match on Thursday afternoon in entrance of a Blue-Satan heavy crowd in Greensboro.
Listed below are 5 issues to know forward of the highly-anticipated matchup.
Ok’S ASSISTANTS MATCHING UP
Pitt head coach Jeff Capel and Duke head coach Jon Scheyer spent 5 years collectively sharing the bench as assistant coaches for the Blue Devils underneath Mike Krzyzewski.
Each Capel and Scheyer performed for Duke and coached for Duke. Capel performed in 129 video games within the Duke uniform from 1993-97, whereas Scheyer performed in 144 video games from 2006-10, profitable a nationwide title in his senior season.
“Properly, Jon has achieved a heck of a job, and I’m not stunned,” Capel stated about his former colleague’s job as the brand new head coach of Duke. “When he joined the employees at Duke, I may see instantly — and I knew Jon. I had met him, however I didn’t actually know him. I may see instantly why he was a very good participant, as a result of he had an ideal really feel. You would see he had an ideal really feel for the sport but additionally a very good really feel for individuals. I feel we labored collectively for I feel it was 5 years, and also you simply noticed him grow to be extra assured and to develop and to get higher. He’s a man that wishes to be actually good. He’s keen about what he does.”
Scheyer has led the Blue Devils to a 23-8 report, going 14-6 in ACC play to this point. Duke is likely one of the hottest groups within the nation in the intervening time, having received six video games in a row.
“Once you take a look at the circumstances, you’re taking on for — look, I feel he’s the best coach ever,” Capel continued about Duke. “There’s no extra stress than that. I feel he’s dealt with every thing in an unbelievable vogue. These guys have gotten higher. There’s loads of expectations and stress on Jon, on the blokes in that program, and I feel he and his employees have achieved a very good job of managing that, managing expectations and serving to them simply get higher week by week.”
PANTHERS CAME CLOSE IN FIRST MATCHUP
In Pitt’s lone matchup towards the Blue Devils earlier this yr, the Panthers had been killed on the glass.
Duke overpowered Pitt to the tune of 51 rebounds, together with 24 offensive rebounds, whereas the Panthers grabbed solely 28 complete boards. Duke’s Kyle Filipowski had 15 rebounds, Ryan Younger had 10, and Mark Mitchell grabbed 9 within the Blue Devils’ inside dominance.
For Pitt, Jamarius Burton led the way in which in that sport with 16 factors, whereas Nike Sibande adopted with 11 and Blake Hinson 10.
“I feel some issues that we’ve gotten higher since that matchup is simply understanding swap assaults a bit of bit higher, understanding defensive schemes, and understanding the place to assault,” Burton stated. “I really feel like that first time taking part in towards them, we had been simply getting our ft moist in that space, and ever since then we’ve been in a position to develop and get higher as a workforce.
PITT WON IN DIFFERENT WAYS IN FIRST ACC TOURNEY GAME
On Wednesday, Pitt took down Georgia Tech within the second spherical of the ACC Match behind massive days from Burton, Federiko Federiko, and Greg Elliott.
The Panthers flexed their muscle mass inside all through the primary half, discovering Federiko underneath the basket and taking part in to Burton’s ability set within the mid-range sport.
Within the second, Greg Elliott got here alive and hit two big threes for the Panthers to start out the skin assault. Blake Hinson hit a dagger of a 3 as effectively, and Burton continued to play bodily inside as Pitt took down the Yellow Jackets in a high-scoring battle.
The unfold for Thursday afternoon’s sport is ready at Duke (-6), per Motion Community. Pitt’s moneyline odds are at the moment at +210 and the over/underneath is hovering round 138.5.
Pitt has coated the unfold in every of its final two video games, and owns the second-best report towards the unfold in your complete nation, second solely to Utah Valley State. The Panthers are 22-9-1 towards the unfold this yr, whereas Duke is 12-19 ATS.
TV, CHANNEL, RADIO INFO
Pitt’s sport towards Duke will tip off at 2:30 p.m. stay on ESPN2 and 93.7 The Fan again in Pittsburgh.
The 5-seed Panthers and the 4-seed Blue Devils are taking part in within the second sport of the day in Greensboro, after Miami faces off towards Wake Forest to open the motion.
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